Actual Covid Deaths in Most Nations Much Higher Than Official Figures: Study | India News
According to IHME estimates, the actual number of victims in the country most affected by Covid, the US, could exceed 9 lakh compared to the officially reported 5.7 lakh.
In India, which is the second worst affected country, estimates show that the actual death toll could be 6.5 lakh, which is almost triple the official figure of 2.2 lakh.
The same is true for Mexico, where the actual death toll could be 6.17 lakh compared to 2.17 that have been reported.
The report suggests that many Covid-related deaths go unreported because countries only report those that occur in hospitals or in patients with a confirmed infection.
“In many places, weak health reporting systems and low access to healthcare magnify this challenge,” the report said.
The report said the actual death toll in countries like Russia and Egypt is likely to be drastically different from what has been reported.
The IHME estimates that the actual number of victims in Russia is five times higher than the 1.09 lakh it has reported. In Egypt, it estimates that the number of victims is more than 1.7 lakh, which is 13 times higher than the reported number.
Interestingly, the report does not mention China, which came under heavy criticism for allegedly not reporting their cases and deaths. The official death toll from Covid in China is 4,636.
The IHME said it derived its estimates in three steps.
“First, we estimate expected mortality in the absence of Covid-19 based on all-cause mortality patterns reported in previous years; second, we subtract all-cause mortality observed from March 2020 onward from expected mortality; and third , we eliminate from the analysis known periods of excess mortality due to causes other than Covid-19, such as the August 2020 heat wave in many European countries. For places where civil registration systems are not complete, we apply the adjustment to reported death counts based on our estimated completeness from the Global Burden of Disease study, “he said.