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Coronavirus: The most affected city in India by percentage of population is Nashik | India News


NEW DELHI: The four cities with the highest number of new cases per million inhabitants in the last month are all in Maharashtra. Nashik at the top is followed by Nagpur, Pune and Mumbai, in that order. Sandwiched between these cities and Delhi (at # 9) are Lucknow, Bangalore, Bhopal, and Indore, with Patna rounding out the top 10.
In absolute numbers, Mumbai has added 3.7 lakh of cases between March 16 and April 15, far more than any other city, while Delhi appears to be the next worst hit. However, the absolute numbers can give a misleading picture, as cities with much larger populations tend to have more cases. Calculating the number of cases per million makes it possible to compare cities with very different population sizes.

Coronavirus: The most affected city in India by percentage of population is Nashik | India News

Thus, Mumbai and Delhi, with populations of more than 20 million each, have had single-day highs over the past month of more than 19,400 and 14,300, respectively. But again, when we look at these numbers in proportion to its population, Lucknow’s high of just under 4,500 on April 15 is actually more alarming (see chart).
TOI analyzed the number of Covid infections during the last month in the 30 most populated urban agglomerations in the country, contiguous urban areas such as Greater Mumbai or Greater Kolkata, according to data from the UN’s World Urbanization Prospects. For two of them, Hyderabad and Vijaywada, the data was not available. Almost all cities have surpassed their previous highest daily cases during the course of this month and continue to see an increase in daily cases. This is a serious concern for the health infrastructure in these cities, as it is not known how much the cases would increase before they reach the peak. Fortunately, Mumbai, Pune, and Nashik are now seeing a declining number of cases in recent days, indicating that these cities could be above their peak.

Coronavirus: The most affected city in India by percentage of population is Nashik | India News

In the cities of Kerala that are part of this list, as well as in Coimbatore and Visakhapatnam, the all-time high of daily cases was not during the past month. However, daily cases are constantly increasing in these cities and the concern is that they could see an even higher number of cases in the current increase than in the last peak.
The analysis here refers to urban agglomerations, which means that Mumbai includes Thane and Navi Mumbai and Chennai would include Thiruvallur, for example. The only exception to this is Delhi, whose satellite cities are in other states and have not been included as part of the population or cases in Delhi.

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