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Coronavirus in India: “Corona will live during the summer in India, will reappear” | India News


PUNE: The new coronavirus, in all likelihood, will live through the summer in India and re-emerge next winter.

The World Health Organization and experts currently involved in research and treatment have said that the virus, SARS-CoV-2, is the third highly pathogenic human coronavirus to impact the planet in the past two decades after SARS and MERS can be transmitted in areas with hot and humid climate.

The researchers said the new virus, against which there is still no natural immunity in humans, could continue to spread within populations through respiratory droplets and close contact. These drops, expelled by coughing or sneezing, may not last long outdoors in the April or May heat. However, experts insisted that instead of waiting for a favorable climate, closing public spaces and discouraging mass gatherings are important steps to curb fresh infections.

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Also, even if the virus loses potency in the summer, it will most likely reappear when winter returns, they said.

“It will not dissipate in the summer. The whole focus should be on contact tracing and quarantine, ”said Annelies Wilder-Smith, professor of emerging infectious diseases at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. Experts said data from countries like India, given the varied climate, will be crucial to understanding the new virus.

David Cennimo, who studies infectious diseases at Rutgers New Jersey School of Medicine, told TOI: “Many expect warmer weather to decrease transmission of the virus. However, this is a hope, not a fact. Endemic coronaviruses and influenza have been in our populations for years and have been balanced. When a new pathogen is introduced, there are so many susceptible people that they can spread exponentially and fail to balance for some time. Also, there are hot climates that continue to watch broadcast. ”

Cennimo added: “We have concerns that the virus may become established in the population and become another endemic virus. The 2009 H1N1 pandemic influenza virus continues to circulate to this day. So we may well see Covid-19 next winter. ”

A high-ranking pulmonologist with a major chain of hospitals in the country said: “No one has ruled out the possibility of transmission during the summer. We have to be prepared for it. We have to use this time to shore up resources and raise awareness. ”

(Govind Vijaykumar)

Times of India