New Delhi,Oct 14 (): BJP national president Amit Shah’s next biggest gamble is to bank on Modi to win the polls in Maharashtra and Haryana at the cost of their allies.
Sources say that BJP’s internal survey reports say that it will emerge as the largest player in Maharashtra but in Haryana it is not sure as many caste equations are at play.
Sources add that BJP is likely to name Capt. Abhimanyu or Inderjit as CM in Haryana and in Maharashtra, it has zeroed in Phadnavis , should it get to power. Around 288 seats are at stake in Maharashtra and 90 in Haryana.
BJP’s internal survey says that the party cadres felt boosted after the split with Sena and that rallies by Modi, Nitin Gadkari and Rajnath have motivated the cadres but whether it would work to convert into votes is uncertain.
Though private surveys have put BJP ahead in Maharashtra, BJP is cautious and does not see a sweep. Amit Shah’s poll gamble in UP failed as opposition closed ranks. In Maharashtra, though it is seen as five-cornered fight, Sena factions are said to be closing ranks as it goes to polls tomorrow. The situation in Haryana is complicated as Jat dominated INLD has a sympathy since its ageing leader Chautala was sent to jail. Congress Hooda still has a pull and caste politics plays a big hand.
Sena playing the Gujarati card has to a certain extent created a revival of Marathi manoos spirit in Maharashtrians and that BJP has no CM candidate. Congress Chavan has no stigma attached to him and the capital city had benefited from many infra development projects. It is seen as a party that is not anti North like Sena and can hold out against the Hindutva of BJP and Sena.
In Haryana, the saffron party is banging on the village panchayat committee known as khap to bring votes but analysts say that these groups are not politically active and more of a moral police.