New Delhi, Nov 27 (): Aam Aadmi Party founder Arvind Kejriwal will be the giant killer, according to a poll survey conducted by Economic Times. The upcoming Delhi assembly elections could see one of its biggest upsets, if the opinion poll commissioned by ET is to come true.
New Delhi constituency where Delhi CM and three-time winner Sheila Dikshit, will be routed by Aam Aadmi Party candidate Kejriwal. She will be pushed to the third place, says the survey.
The constituency has 1.23 lakh voters. The poll by survey firm, TNS conducted on behalf of ET covered 2,101 registered voters in the New Delhi assembly seat. The survey conducted personal interviews of respondents in the period when Aam Aadmi Party was facing charges of accepting cash donations for doing dubious activities and a question mark over the Rs 20 crore donations.
New voters favoured Aam Aadmi Party and its candidate Kejriwal. 49% of new voters aged between 18 and 25 years backed Aam Aadmi Party compared to 19% of Congress and 20% for BJP, respectively.
21% of the respondents who took part in the poll were in the age group of 18-25 years. Aam Aadmi Party fared better than its rivals Congress and BJP across all age groups, religious and caste lines.
TNS gives 2.12% margin of error to the report and a 95% confidence level with its results. The New Delhi assembly constituency, considered a high-profile VIP seat, is in many ways a reflection of the entire city, consisting of different age groups and a mix of income and professional profiles.
The constituency houses NDMC colonies, and alongside the posh elite enclaves of Lutyens Delhi and Golf Links co-exist the slums in Kali Bari Marg.This constituency is house to the State and central government, the middle class vote banks of political parties.
The constituency, which was earlier known as Gole Market , has been the stronghold of Sheila Dikshit, who has won three times from here and been CM for the same terms. Last election Dikshit pitted against BJP’s Vijay Jolly, saw her victory margin reduce to 18% as in 2003 she defeated the saffron party by 33% margin of the total votes.
While Kejriwal has targeted Dikshit in his campaign, the Aam Aadmi party has put as many as 2,000 volunteers including some of its best to reach out to the 30,000 houses in the constituency’s with never before door-to-door campaigning.
Aam Aadmi Party’s Arvind Kejriwal had openly stated he would contest against Sheila Dikshit, much ahead of the polls. In 2012 itself by June, the Aam Aadmi Party began the ground work in the constituency.
Out of the 30,000 houses, 12,000 have donated to Aam Aadmi Party. It has collected Rs 6 lakhs from this area. Mishandling of the gang-rape protests, and rising onion prices are factors that could influence the middle class voters.