DMK desperately looks for a win in Rajya Sabha elections. It is so important to DMK since Kanimozhi is in the fray. Fielding of any other candidate could have made it a less interesting fight.
Following is the Party position in Tamil Nadu Assembly:
1 All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK) 150
2 Desia Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam (DMDK) 29
3 Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) 23
4 Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) 10
5 Communist Party of India (CPI) 8
6 Indian National Congress (INC) 5
7 Pattali Makkal Katchi (PMK) 3
8 Manithaneya Makkal Katchi 2
9 Puthiya Tamizagam 2
10 All India Forward Bloc 1
11 Hon. Speaker 1
12 Nominated Member 1
Since 34 MLAs are required to exercise their first preference vote to elect one Rajya Sabha member, 4 MPs from AIADMK and 1 MP from CPI can go to Rajya Sabha as per the present understanding and alliances. The sixth vacant RS seat has to be filled through contest among DMK and DMDK.
Although DMDK should have 29 votes, it can corner only 22 votes since 7 of DMDK MLAs favour AIADMK. DMK with 23 votes has fielded Kanimozhi who has to contest with DMDK nominee. The chances of either party rests with the votes to be cast by Congress party, PMK and others.
There can be invisible alliances now. Congress party can go with either DMK or DMDK. Other parties having single digit numbers can also tilt the balance.
The maneuvers of Karunanidhi to get Kanimozhi elected to Rajya Sabha should give a tough time to DMDK leader Vijayakanth. It is a pity, DMK having lost its role as principal opposition party now again has to face DMDK to improve its image as a main opposition party among people.
Vijayakanth can try his best to get the support of Congress party. In that case, the old party -Congress is going to play a fine drama by joining hands with the young party DMDK to teach a lesson to DMK.